Category Archives: Macro Analysis

New Zealand Dollar Falls on Weak Domestic Data

. Westpac consumer confidence at 3-year low There was pressure building up on the New Zealand dollar as consumer confidence in New Zealand, reported by Westpac on September 21, 2015, fell to a three-year low of 106 in 3Q15. Although a

China’s Meteoric Rise as the Global Retail Hub

Did you know that Chinese online shoppers spent about US $5.7 billion on a single day in November last year? That more and more well-heeled Indian consumers prefer to buy their tea from a pharmacy? That urban Thais visit a

What a Dovish Fed Means for Stocks

After the recent Fed news, investors may want to review their exposure to these two market segments. Investors have spent much of the last couple of months fixated on the Federal Reserve (the Fed). In the end, last Thursday, the

Why Asian Currencies Have Fared Relatively Well

This dynamic has been evident in the relative resilience of emerging market currencies, an important determinant of overall return for dollar-based investors. With a few notable exceptions, namely currencies in Malaysia and Indonesia, the currencies in most Asian emerging markets

Japan’s Credit Rating Downgraded to A+ by Standard & Poor’s

Japan’s credit rating downgraded to A+ On Wednesday, September 16, Standard & Poor’s (or S&P) downgraded Japan’s sovereign credit rating. Japan’s sovereign debt is now rated A+. The rating was downgraded by one notch from the AA- it held earlier.

The Turbulence in Equities Is Likely to Continue

Despite the temptation to head for the exit, Russ discusses what investors should consider doing instead. Stocks tumbled again last week, as investors digested further evidence of slowing growth in China and numerous, somewhat conflicting statements from various Federal Reserve

Why US Stocks Appear Unattractive

Looking forward, the bumpy ride in the US is likely to continue, given the persistence of several factors, including a pending interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (the Fed) and expensive US stock valuations. Without the tailwind of easier money,

Dalio: Japan Is Undergoing an ‘Ugly Deflationary Deleveraging’

Japan in an ugly deleveraging process In his paper released in February 2012, providing An In-Depth Look at Deleveragings, Ray Dalio—the founder of the $160 billion hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates—discussed that Japan is undergoing an “ugly deflationary deleveraging” process. Enlarge

Brazil Leads the Fall in Latin American Currencies

Mixed cues from Latin America Latin American currencies were trading on mixed cues against the US dollar after the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) statement on September 17, 2015. Although a decision to hold off the hike in interest rates

How Bitcoins Have Evolved

Introduction of the bitcoin The bitcoin, which made its debut in 2009, is often referred to as the world’s first decentralized digital currency, and it has the highest market capitalization when compared to its peers. Its invention is credited to Satoshi

Logistics Stocks Fall due to Downturn in the Shipment Index

Manufacturing fell to -5 in September 2015 The Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index provides insight into price pressures on manufacturing activities. The composite index of manufacturing fell to -5 in September as compared to a reading of zero in August 2015.

US Dollar Index Strengthens as Retail Sales Rise 0.2%

Retail sales rise to $447.7 billion According to the U.S. Census Bureau, month-over-month retail sales rose by 0.2% in August. The rise was primarily driven by miscellaneous store retailers, food services, and the motor vehicle sector, while the offsetting effect

Euro Slipping ahead of the ECB Meeting

ECB Praet interview Twice since September 22, Peter Praet, a member of the executive board of the ECB (European Central Bank), noted that the ECB is open to the idea boosting the quantitative easing program. The current program involves buying

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